Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.048002 0.052161 0.056373 0.060950 0.065778 0.070711 0.076127
2025-01-26 0.041081 0.047148 0.053515 0.060669 0.068457 0.076652 0.085904
2025-02-02 0.036176 0.043636 0.051718 0.061066 0.071519 0.082788 0.095799
2025-02-09 0.032778 0.041360 0.050929 0.062277 0.075260 0.089543 0.106338
2025-02-16 0.030791 0.040430 0.051446 0.064795 0.080359 0.097768 0.118545
2025-02-23 0.026573 0.036503 0.048173 0.062650 0.079878 0.099490 0.123262
2025-03-02 0.023711 0.033957 0.046308 0.061953 0.080910 0.102817 0.129722
2025-03-09 0.021368 0.031856 0.044806 0.061535 0.082139 0.106278 0.136274
2025-03-16 0.020447 0.031484 0.045376 0.063597 0.086326 0.113232 0.146964
2025-03-23 0.019239 0.030629 0.045251 0.064727 0.089330 0.118752 0.155960
2025-03-30 0.018032 0.029680 0.044925 0.065538 0.091893 0.123719 0.164298
2025-04-06 0.016494 0.028161 0.043756 0.065182 0.092929 0.126779 0.170305
2025-04-13 0.015520 0.027404 0.043596 0.066163 0.095721 0.132102 0.179227
2025-04-20 0.014109 0.025916 0.042366 0.065671 0.096587 0.135022 0.185215
2025-04-27 0.013090 0.024935 0.041775 0.065986 0.098467 0.139202 0.192778
2025-05-04 0.012445 0.024472 0.041874 0.067206 0.101518 0.144863 0.202211
2025-05-11 0.012270 0.024726 0.042989 0.069827 0.106438 0.152939 0.214730
2025-05-18 0.010708 0.022655 0.040637 0.067551 0.104770 0.152534 0.216528
2025-05-25 0.009701 0.021407 0.039426 0.066809 0.105106 0.154670 0.221522
2025-06-01 0.008855 0.020361 0.038458 0.066363 0.105805 0.157253 0.227077
2025-06-08 0.008702 0.020504 0.039302 0.068533 0.110102 0.164567 0.238747
2025-06-15 0.008330 0.020228 0.039479 0.069721 0.113045 0.170117 0.248174
2025-06-22 0.007906 0.019829 0.039438 0.070574 0.115518 0.175053 0.256832